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#739 Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2

3-Units (9:00 P.M. CST)

Both of these teams have losing records, yet one seems to have a clear advantage over the other, especially in past match ups. Fresno St. has won 4 straight over Cal Poly dating back to 1998! Now the Mustangs find themselves in a rare favorite role over the Bulldogs. They catch a Fresno St. team that is on a two game losing streak, having lost road games to Creighton and St. Louis. Both these teams had winning records, and in fact all of the teams that Fresno St. lost to had winning records except Oregon St.(4-5). Cal Poly just lost to a 4-9 CSU Bakersfield team, and can't be feeling good about the way the season is going. Fresno St. on the other hand gets their first real winnable game on the road against a team they have managed to handle very easily in the past. Fresno St. is shooting a steady 45% from the field on the season, and in road games. Cal Poly on the other hand is shooting a miserable 35 % from the field in home games, and will have a tough time covering the spread in this game against the Bulldogs of Fresno St.

Take the Fresno St. Bulldogs +3 1/2 for 3-Units!

Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning

Southcoast Sports

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Today's Hoops Selections:

#510 Virginia Tech Hokies -3

4-Units (6:00 P.M. CST) (ESPN2)

If you are not familiar with the Big Ten/ACC Challenge, you do not know what you have been missing. This Challenge features some of the elite teams from both leagues going at it night after night with the winner being decided after 11 games have been played. The ACC has won EVERY Single Challenge dating back to its inception in 1999. Wisconsin has went 3-6 against ACC schools in the Challenge, while Virginia Tech has went 1-2 against Big Ten competition in the Challenge.

Wisconsin puts a 5-1 record and #25 ranking on the line against a Virginia Tech team that is 4-2 on the season. Wisconsin has been getting its wins by smothering opposing teams on defense, and playing just well enough on offense to put themselves in winning situations. They have played one ranked opponent in Connecticut(#2) losing that game by a score of 57-76. Wisconsin is led by Junior guard Trevon Hughes who is averaging 14 points a game, and Joe Krabbenhoft who is averaging 7 rebounds per outing.

Virginia Tech is also playing very efficiently on defense, with only one opponent(Seton Hall) shooting over 39% from the field against them on the season. They are led offensively by Sophomore Forward Jeff Allen and Senior Forward A.D. Vassalo both who are averaging 17 points a game. Virginia Tech has yet to play a ranked opponent, but both of their losses came against basketball powerhouses Xavier and Seton Hall, by a combined total of 5 points.

Wisconsin has a young team that is a work in progress. They will only get better with each game that they play. This young Badger team may be overwhelmed having to come into the Cassell Coliseum in Blacksburg, Virginia in a Nationally Televised ESPN event. Virginia Tech gets win #1 for the ACC in the Big Ten/ ACC Challenge.

Take the Virginia Tech Hokies -3 for 4-Units!

Trends worth considering:

Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

Badgers are 3-6 SU all time in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge.

Badgers are 13-20 ATS after allowing 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Hokies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

Hokies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.

Thanks and Good Luck.

Slade Henning

Southcoast Sports

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#509 Boston Celtics (-8.5/9) @ Oklahoma City ~ 3 Units.
Ok, I've been riding Boston a little bit so far this season but why not? They're getting the ATS job done as well as winning SU. Tonight they take on a 1-2 Oklahoma City team.

I'm not going to beat around the bush, Oklahoma City is pretty terrible. They opened up with an 11 point home loss to Milwaukee and then lost @ Houston by 12 in their next game. They did manage to beat a mediocre Timberwolves by 3 points though this past Sunday. Their leading scorer is Texas Alum Kevin Durant with 18.7 PPG and Russell Westbrook is trailing him with only 11 PPG followed by Green (10), Wilcox (9.7) and Collison (8). I don't think these boys can match Boston's average of 92 PPG. Lets not forget that average would be higher had Boston remembered to pack their games for the road trip to Indiana last Saturday.


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#226 Tennessee (-4) vs Indy ~ 3 Units

Well, when a team is doing really well and has the stats to back a bright future, you gotta go with them. It also doesn't hurt that "someone" is playing a team that is slowly turning into "Yesterday's News." This game is going to be close though. The line isn't -4 for no reason. This is a battle between the top 2 teams in the AFC South. The Colts need a win and knocking off Tennessee at the same time would be the proverbial cherry on top.

The Tennessee Titans have been on a roll this year all thanks to a near unstoppable defense. They hold the #1 spot in 4 defensive categories including:

TDs allowed: 7
Turnover margin: +6
Passing Touchdowns Allowed: 1 (KEY Stat In This Matchup)
PPG Allowed: 11

Their running game has been no joke either, averaging 154 rushing YPG and yielding an astounding 332 yards against the Cheifs last week. Leading rushers Chris Johnson and Lendale White are on fire in Tennessee. White is currently tied with New Orleans' Reggie Bush for most touchdowns with 8 and Johnson is halfway to a 1000 yard season with 549 YTD.

If you paid attention the last 2 years, you already know that Indy isn't really know for their run defense. Its become pretty non-existent in fact. They'll usually have 2-3 good games a year where they stop the run so it throws off the total yards allowed stats at the end of the year. As of right now, they're ranked 29th giving up an average 153 yards a game.

Onto the Colt's last remaining hope, Peyton Manning. Lets just say he wasn't what he once was. I'm sure he still has a lot of fire left in him but sometimes I think he's more worried about what commercial he's going to film next rather than the next week's gameplan. He is on pace right now for a 21 TD season which would be the lowest since he was draft in '97. He has 8 touchdowns right now shadowed by a lingering 7 picks. His QB rating is the lowest it has been in his career at 80.0 and his completion % 2nd worst only to his rookie year.

This is a classic Young Stud vs Seasoned Vet matchup but looking at these teams TODAY...(not these teams in the past), You gotta go with the Titans @ -4. (-3 would have been great but -4 will hold up.)

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#190 Arizona (+14.5) vs USC ~ 3 Units

Not going to stretch the truth any here. USC has been a powerhouse this season despite their 6 point loss to Oregon St 4 games ago. Take away the Oregon St loss and they have only allowed 20 points in 5 games this season. They can move the ball in the air and on the ground. They are quite the force to be reckoned with.

BUT...

This is Arizona's homecoming game and it almost makes you want to slap the guy who made USC be their homecoming opponents but its all the more reason to lean against Arizona. Their defense is nothing to joke about. They have held opponents to 285 combined ypg and a measly 18ppg.

Offense wise, both teams have been averaging over 40 PPG and over 400 YPG. Arizona has been flying under the radar this year and should continue to do so today. I'll say that USC will most likely ride home with the win but Arizona will give them a run for their money while making some for us at the same time.

Some nice stats to look at for Arizona:

Wildcats are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.

All signs are pointing @ Arizona covering the spread at home on thier homecoming.

#305 Hawaii (+24) ~ 4 Units

Scott Is 4-1 In His Last 5 College Football Selections!

It might turn into a nail biter but I have to go with Hawaii covering the 24 points tonight @ Boise on the "Smurf Turf." The Warriors are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games on turf.

According to the USA Today Power Ratings, Hawaii has had the 12th hardest schedule in the country so far this year. After hearing that, their 3-3 record isn't so bad. Boise State's schedule on the other hand, thus far, is ranked 111th in the nation. Hawaii's 1st and 3rd games, they played @Florida and @Oregon st which they obviously lost. Their 3rd and final loss came in a heartbreaker when San Jose state's Jared Strubeck kicked a 47-yard game-winning field goal with 1:49 left in the game. They put on their thinking caps after that game, fixing their problems and taking on Fresno State as 21 point underdogs. Not only did they cover the spread but they won the game outright. Throw in the usual conference game win vs Louisiana Tech and you have an eager 3-3 team that has had a rough schedule and decided they still want to be in a bowl game this year.

I'm predicting this one to be a close one, Boise will most likely win the game but Hawaii has it in them to keep Boise on their toes. Both team's Defenses are giving up over 315 yards a game but Boise's offense is averaging about 100 yards more on offense. So like I said, mark this one down as a close game but pick Hawaii +24.

As always, if you found this information useful or even profitable, drop me a line at ScottsSportsPicks@yahoo.com or visit my website @ Scotts Sports Picks.
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#302 NC State (-11) ~ 3 Units

Taking NC St. in this one. They're 0-6-1 ATS (against the spread) in their last 7 meetings with Fla St. Another juicy little tidbit is that the game will be airing Thursday night on ESPN. In the last 5 ESPN Thursday night games, the home teams are 5-0 ATS. I'm not huge on taking on such an almost meaningless stat like this but we all remember the Thursday night USC game a couple weeks ago. When USC who was a 22 point favorite lost the game entirely.

NC State's defense has 2 returning stars for tonight's game, Nate Irving and Ala-Michael Cash. Their QB, Russell Wilson is also returning. With the previous Bye week, any fatigued players such as Jamelle Eugene (RB) should be back to 100%.

NC State is 6-2 vs teams with a winning record, as well as 6-2 in their last 8 conference games. Florida St is a clear "Game Stat" favorite but you have to look at who they have played too. By USA Today power ratings, Florida St has a 127th ranked schedule so far this year while NC State's is ranked 24th. Many people will overlook this, in my opinion, VERY crucial stat and it may end up costing them some money in the process. Take NC State @ 11-11.5 tonight.


As always, if you found this information useful or even profitable, drop me a line at ScottsSportsPicks@yahoo.com or visit my website @ Scotts Sports Picks.